Maghreb Fès vs Rahimo: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif de Fès, Fès
The Footlab model makes Maghreb Fès the favourite at 62%, against 26% for a draw and 12% for Rahimo. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maghreb Fès vs Rahimo?
Maghreb Fès starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,931 vs 1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maghreb Fès have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Rahimo have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | Wydad AC(away) | 1-0 | Botola Pro |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Renaissance Berkane(home) | 1-2 | Botola Pro |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Difaa EL Jadida(home) | 2-1 | Botola Pro |
| Jun 12, 2026 | FUS Rabat(away) | 1-1 | Botola Pro |
| Jun 9, 2026 | FAR Rabat(home) | 0-0 | Botola Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | RC Bobo-Dioulasso(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | RCK(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | USFA(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Réal du Faso(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Maghreb Fès score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rahimo score 1.6 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maghreb Fès | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Rahimo | 1.6 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maghreb Fès vs Rahimo?
- The Footlab model makes Maghreb Fès the favourite at 62%, against 26% for a draw and 12% for Rahimo.
- Where and when is Maghreb Fès vs Rahimo played?
- Maghreb Fès vs Rahimo is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif de Fès, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.