Aigle Noir vs Al Hilal Omdurman: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Peace Park Progress, Makamba
The Footlab model makes Aigle Noir the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Al Hilal Omdurman. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aigle Noir vs Al Hilal Omdurman?
Al Hilal Omdurman starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,857 vs 1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aigle Noir have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Al Hilal Omdurman have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Olympic Star(home) | 3-1 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Garage Express(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Royal Vision(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Dynamik(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(away) | 2-2 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jamus(away) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rayon Sports(home) | 0-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | KVZ(away) | 4-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 2-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Aigle Noir score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Hilal Omdurman score 1.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aigle Noir | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Al Hilal Omdurman | 1.8 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aigle Noir vs Al Hilal Omdurman?
- The Footlab model makes Aigle Noir the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Al Hilal Omdurman.
- Where and when is Aigle Noir vs Al Hilal Omdurman played?
- Aigle Noir vs Al Hilal Omdurman is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Peace Park Progress, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.