San-Pédro vs Rivers United: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Robert Champroux, Abidjan
The Footlab model makes San-Pédro the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for Rivers United. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San-Pédro vs Rivers United?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate San-Pédro (1,695) and Rivers United (1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San-Pédro have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Rivers United have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | ISCA(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Mouna(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | ASEC Mimosas(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | Olympique Sport d'Abobo(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Nasarawa United(home) | 2-2 | Federation Cup |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Enugu Rangers(home) | 3-2 | Federation Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | Katsina United(home) | 3-0 | NPFL |
| May 10, 2026 | Wikki Tourist(away) | 3-2 | NPFL |
| May 3, 2026 | Abia Warriors(home) | 3-0 | NPFL |
How many goals should we expect?
San-Pédro score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Rivers United score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San-Pédro | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Rivers United | 1.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rivers United | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San-Pédro vs Rivers United?
- The Footlab model makes San-Pédro the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for Rivers United.
- Where and when is San-Pédro vs Rivers United played?
- San-Pédro vs Rivers United is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Robert Champroux, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.