GOR Mahia vs Pyramids FC: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
The Footlab model makes Pyramids FC the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for GOR Mahia. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GOR Mahia vs Pyramids FC?
Pyramids FC is a heavy favourite: 2,044 Elo points against 1,680 — a 363-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GOR Mahia have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Pyramids FC have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 1-2 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 1-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Al-Haras Al-Jumhuri(home) | 1-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Vipers(home) | 0-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 24, 2026 | APR(away) | 5-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ghazl El Mehalla(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | Smouha SC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Masr(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| May 5, 2026 | Ceramica Cleopatra(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
GOR Mahia score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pyramids FC score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOR Mahia | 1.1 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Pyramids FC | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GOR Mahia vs Pyramids FC?
- The Footlab model makes Pyramids FC the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for GOR Mahia.
- Where and when is GOR Mahia vs Pyramids FC played?
- GOR Mahia vs Pyramids FC is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nyayo National Stadium, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.