Al Shorta vs Duhok: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Al-Shaab Stadium, Baghdād
The Footlab AI model makes Al Shorta the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Duhok. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Shorta vs Duhok?
Al Shorta starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,735 vs 1,557).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Shorta vs Duhok
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Shorta
4-2-3-1- 10L. Ateba
- 9Hussein Ali
- 14B. Moumouni
- 11Bassam Shakir
- 23K. Kuku
- 13B. Ngalamulume
- 4R. Ramírez
- 5Maytham Jabbar
- 15A. Yahya
- 25Atheer Salih
- 12Jalal Hassan Hachim
Duhok
Not enough data to predict the Duhok lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Shorta have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Duhok have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | East Bengal II(away) | 3-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Talaba(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Al Seeb(home) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Karkh(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Al Shorta wins, 1 draw, 2 Duhok wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Duhok 2-1 Al Shorta | Iraqi League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Al Shorta 2-0 Duhok | Iraqi League |
| May 24, 2025 | Duhok 1-3 Al Shorta | Iraqi League |
| Dec 16, 2024 | Al Shorta 0-0 Duhok | Iraqi League |
| Jul 4, 2024 | Al Shorta 1-0 Duhok | Iraqi League |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Duhok 2-0 Al Shorta | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Shorta score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Duhok score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shorta | 1.1 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Duhok | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Shorta sit 6th in Iraqi League (16 points from 9 matches) and Duhok sit 7th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al Shorta | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Duhok | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
A question about Al Shorta vs Duhok?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Shorta vs Duhok?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Shorta the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Duhok.
- Where and when is Al Shorta vs Duhok played?
- Al Shorta vs Duhok is played on December 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Shaab Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.