Al Merreikh vs Power Dynamos: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al-Merreikh Stadium, Omdurman
The Footlab model makes Al Merreikh the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for Power Dynamos. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Merreikh vs Power Dynamos?
Power Dynamos starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,812 vs 1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Merreikh have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Power Dynamos have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Gorilla(away) | 1-3 | National Soccer League |
| May 27, 2026 | APR(home) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 22, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 17, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 10, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| May 17, 2026 | Green Eagles(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 13, 2026 | Mutondo Stars(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| May 6, 2026 | Kansanshi Dynamos(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Konkola Blades(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Merreikh score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Power Dynamos score 2.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Merreikh | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Power Dynamos | 2.1 | 0.6 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Power Dynamos | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Merreikh vs Power Dynamos?
- The Footlab model makes Al Merreikh the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for Power Dynamos.
- Where and when is Al Merreikh vs Power Dynamos played?
- Al Merreikh vs Power Dynamos is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al-Merreikh Stadium, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.