Al Wakrah vs Al Shamal: prediction and stats
Stars LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium (Al-Wakrah Stadium), Al-Wakra
The Footlab model makes Al Shamal the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Al Wakrah. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Wakrah vs Al Shamal?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Al Wakrah (1,700) and Al Shamal (1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Wakrah have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Al Shamal have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Qatar SC(home) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nantes(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Rouen(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Caen(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al-Arabi SC(away) | 2-2 | Stars League |
| May 1, 2026 | Al Sadd(home) | 4-6 | Emir Cup |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al Sadd(away) | 2-3 | Stars League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Qatar SC(home) | 0-2 | Stars League |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Al Shahaniya(away) | 0-2 | Stars League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Al Wakrah win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Al Shamal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | Al Wakrah 0-1 Al Shamal | Stars League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Al Shamal 2-2 Al Wakrah | Stars League |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Al Shamal 1-0 Al Wakrah | Stars League |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Al Wakrah 0-3 Al Shamal | Stars League |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Al Shamal 1-1 Al Wakrah | QSL Cup |
| Apr 16, 2024 | Al Shamal 0-0 Al Wakrah | Stars League |
Last archived meeting: Al Wakrah vs Al Shamal on Mar 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Wakrah score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al Shamal score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Wakrah | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Al Shamal | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Wakrah sit 7th in Stars League (1 points from 1 matches) and Al Shamal sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Al Wakrah | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Al Shamal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Wakrah vs Al Shamal?
- The Footlab model makes Al Shamal the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Al Wakrah.
- Where and when is Al Wakrah vs Al Shamal played?
- Al Wakrah vs Al Shamal is played on September 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium (Al-Wakrah Stadium), in the Stars League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.