Calamocha vs Gimnástica Segoviana: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo De Fútbol Jumaya Calamocha, Calamocha
The Footlab model makes Calamocha the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Gimnástica Segoviana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calamocha vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Calamocha (1,885) and Gimnástica Segoviana (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calamocha have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Gimnástica Segoviana have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cariñena(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 3, 2026 | Robres(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Huesca II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cuarte(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Illueca(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Calamocha score 1.2 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnástica Segoviana score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calamocha | 1.2 | 0.3 | 12 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Gimnástica Segoviana | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calamocha vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
- The Footlab model makes Calamocha the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Gimnástica Segoviana.
- Where and when is Calamocha vs Gimnástica Segoviana played?
- Calamocha vs Gimnástica Segoviana is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo De Fútbol Jumaya Calamocha, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.