Getafe II vs Atlético Astorga: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de Getafe - Campo 1, Getafe
The Footlab model makes Getafe II the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Atlético Astorga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Getafe II vs Atlético Astorga?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Getafe II (1,902) and Atlético Astorga (1,888).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Getafe II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Atlético Astorga have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Orihuela(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | La Bañeza(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | UD Ourense(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Getafe II score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Astorga score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe II | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Atlético Astorga | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Getafe II | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 35 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Getafe II vs Atlético Astorga?
- The Footlab model makes Getafe II the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Atlético Astorga.
- Where and when is Getafe II vs Atlético Astorga played?
- Getafe II vs Atlético Astorga is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Getafe - Campo 1, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.