Folgore Caratese vs Treviso: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stadio XXV Aprile, Carate Brianza
The Footlab AI model makes Treviso the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Folgore Caratese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Treviso wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Folgore Caratese vs Treviso?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Folgore Caratese (1,709) and Treviso (1,722).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Folgore Caratese vs Treviso
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Folgore Caratese
4-3-3- 9S. Spalluto
- 61A. Santarcangelo
- 10A. Vacca
- 8F. Castellano
- 99F. D'Amico
- 92A. Tessiore
- 21E. Gega
- 11M. Balzano
- 43Alessandro Bassino
- 24E. Bellia
- 1D. Salvalaggio
Treviso
4-3-3- 9C. Tommasini
- 10F. Ciuferri
- 17L. Paganini
- 27R. Gucher
- 2A. Brigati
- 25F. Romeo
- 5D. Bove
- 8D. Cappelletti
- 13A. Maestrelli
- 94D. Liotti
- 30T. Nobile
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Folgore Caratese have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Treviso have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trento(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Pergolettese(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Renate(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Union Brescia(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Folgore Caratese win, 0 draws, 0 Treviso wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Folgore Caratese 2-0 Treviso | Serie D - Championship Round |
Last archived meeting: Folgore Caratese vs Treviso on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Folgore Caratese score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Treviso score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folgore Caratese | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Treviso | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Folgore Caratese sit 18th in Serie C - Girone A (6 points from 9 matches) and Treviso sit 6th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Treviso | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 18 | Folgore Caratese | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
A question about Folgore Caratese vs Treviso?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Folgore Caratese vs Treviso?
- The Footlab AI model makes Treviso the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Folgore Caratese.
- Where and when is Folgore Caratese vs Treviso played?
- Folgore Caratese vs Treviso is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio XXV Aprile, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.