San Javier vs El Palmar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes San Javier the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for El Palmar. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Javier vs El Palmar?
San Javier starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,796 vs 1,669).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Javier vs El Palmar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Javier
Not enough data to predict the San Javier lineup.
El Palmar
Not enough data to predict the El Palmar lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 05:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, San Javier have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; El Palmar have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Algar(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Los Garres(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
How many goals should we expect?
San Javier score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 6; El Palmar score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Javier | 1.8 | 0.8 | 3 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| El Palmar | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | San Javier | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 14 |
A question about San Javier vs El Palmar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Javier vs El Palmar?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Javier the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for El Palmar.
- Where and when is San Javier vs El Palmar played?
- San Javier vs El Palmar is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026Atlético PulpileñovsLos Garres
- Dec 20, 2026Mazarrón FCvsÁguilas II
- Dec 20, 2026Olímpico TotanavsAlcantarilla
- Dec 20, 2026Cartagena LU IIvsBala Azul
- Dec 20, 2026AlgarvsUCAM Murcia II
- Dec 20, 2026Balsicas AtléticovsSanta Cruz
- Dec 20, 2026SantomeravsUnión Molinense
- Dec 20, 2026Bullas DeportivovsSFC Minerva