Olímpico Totana vs Alcantarilla: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Cayuela, Totana
The Footlab model makes Olímpico Totana the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Alcantarilla. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olímpico Totana vs Alcantarilla?
Olímpico Totana starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (1,791 vs 1,591).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olímpico Totana have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Alcantarilla have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 31, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 24, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 17, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 4, 2025 | Águilas II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Santomera(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
How many goals should we expect?
Olímpico Totana score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Alcantarilla score 0.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olímpico Totana | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Alcantarilla | 0.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Olímpico Totana | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 58 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olímpico Totana vs Alcantarilla?
- The Footlab model makes Olímpico Totana the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Alcantarilla.
- Where and when is Olímpico Totana vs Alcantarilla played?
- Olímpico Totana vs Alcantarilla is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Cayuela, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026Atlético PulpileñovsLos Garres
- Dec 20, 2026Mazarrón FCvsÁguilas II
- Dec 20, 2026Cartagena LU IIvsBala Azul
- Dec 20, 2026AlgarvsUCAM Murcia II
- Dec 20, 2026Balsicas AtléticovsSanta Cruz
- Dec 20, 2026SantomeravsUnión Molinense
- Dec 20, 2026Bullas DeportivovsSFC Minerva
- Dec 20, 2026San JaviervsEl Palmar