Alcione vs Folgore Caratese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 23Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
The Footlab model makes Folgore Caratese the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Alcione. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcione vs Folgore Caratese?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Alcione (1,746) and Folgore Caratese (1,822).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcione have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Folgore Caratese have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Renate(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Novara(home) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Mantova(away) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Torino(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Lumezzane(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Giana Erminio(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Vado(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Championship Round |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Alcione win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Folgore Caratese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | Folgore Caratese 0-2 Alcione | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Alcione 1-2 Folgore Caratese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Alcione 4-1 Folgore Caratese | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Folgore Caratese 0-0 Alcione | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Folgore Caratese vs Alcione on Feb 12, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Alcione score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Folgore Caratese score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcione | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Folgore Caratese | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcione sit 1st in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Folgore Caratese sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alcione | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Folgore Caratese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcione vs Folgore Caratese?
- The Footlab model makes Folgore Caratese the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Alcione.
- Where and when is Alcione vs Folgore Caratese played?
- Alcione vs Folgore Caratese is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ernesto Breda, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.