Alcione vs Folgore Caratese: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 23Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
The Footlab AI model makes Alcione the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Folgore Caratese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alcione wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcione vs Folgore Caratese?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Alcione (1,812) and Folgore Caratese (1,790).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcione vs Folgore Caratese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcione
4-3-3- 11F. Morselli
- 14A. Rolfini
- 98L. Zini
- 18E. Lopes
- 10J. Pitou
- 30R. Rebaudo
- 25Filippo Pirola
- 4A. Miculi
- 3P. Chierichietti
- 19N. Trapani
- 1F. Raffaelli
Folgore Caratese
4-3-3- 9S. Spalluto
- 77K. Mezsargs
- 61A. Santarcangelo
- 8F. Castellano
- 99F. D'Amico
- 6E. Ndoj
- 21E. Gega
- 11M. Balzano
- 19T. Duca
- 29F. Minerva
- 1D. Salvalaggio
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 06:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcione have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Folgore Caratese have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Giana Erminio(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 4-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Trento(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 0-4 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Trento(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Alcione wins, 1 draw, 1 Folgore Caratese win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Folgore Caratese 2-3 Alcione | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Folgore Caratese 0-2 Alcione | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Alcione 1-2 Folgore Caratese | Serie D - Girone B |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Alcione 4-1 Folgore Caratese | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Folgore Caratese 0-0 Alcione | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Folgore Caratese vs Alcione on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alcione score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Folgore Caratese score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcione | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Folgore Caratese | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcione sit 7th in Serie C - Girone A (18 points from 12 matches) and Folgore Caratese sit 20th (7 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Alcione | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | Folgore Caratese | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 7 |
A question about Alcione vs Folgore Caratese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcione vs Folgore Caratese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alcione the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Folgore Caratese.
- Where and when is Alcione vs Folgore Caratese played?
- Alcione vs Folgore Caratese is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ernesto Breda, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.