Match

Giana Erminio vs Lecco: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 23Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Gorgonzola

Giana ErminioLecco

The Footlab model makes Lecco the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Giana Erminio. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Giana Erminio vs Lecco?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Giana Erminio (1,756) and Lecco (1,770).

Giana Erminio win34 %
Draw29 %
Lecco win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Giana Erminio have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Lecco have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Giana Erminio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Albinoleffe(home)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026Folgore Caratese(home)1-1Coppa Italia Serie C
Jul 24, 2026Cremonese(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
May 6, 2026Lecco(away)1-2Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Trento(away)2-1Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Lecco
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(home)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026Desenzano Calvina(home)0-0Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 8, 2026Atalanta II(home)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 2, 2026Hellas Verona(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 20, 2026Catania(away)3-3Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Giana Erminio win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Lecco win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 6, 2026Lecco 2-1 Giana ErminioSerie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Feb 11, 2026Giana Erminio 0-1 LeccoSerie C - Girone A
Sep 28, 2025Lecco 0-0 Giana ErminioSerie C - Girone A
Mar 31, 2025Lecco 1-0 Giana ErminioSerie C - Girone A
Nov 16, 2024Giana Erminio 1-0 LeccoSerie C - Girone A
Feb 23, 2022Lecco 1-0 Giana ErminioSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Lecco vs Giana Erminio on May 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Giana Erminio score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lecco score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Giana Erminio1.21.358/156/15
Lecco1.31.358/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Giana Erminio sit 15th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Lecco sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Lecco1010001
15Giana Erminio1001120

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Giana Erminio vs Lecco?
The Footlab model makes Lecco the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Giana Erminio.
Where and when is Giana Erminio vs Lecco played?
Giana Erminio vs Lecco is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Giana Erminio and Lecco

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