Match

Colonia Moscardó vs Torrejón: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Valero, Madrid

Colonia MoscardóTorrejón

The Footlab model makes Torrejón the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Colonia Moscardó. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Colonia Moscardó vs Torrejón?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Colonia Moscardó (1,765) and Torrejón (1,786).

Colonia Moscardó win36 %
Draw27 %
Torrejón win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colonia Moscardó have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Torrejón have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Colonia Moscardó
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Intercity(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Navalcarnero(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 14, 2026Real Madrid III(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 11, 2026Orihuela(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026Getafe II(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Torrejón
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Las Rozas(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Las Rozas(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026AD Parla(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Alcorcón II(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Alcobendas Sport(home)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Colonia Moscardó win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Torrejón win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 25, 2024Torrejón 1-2 Colonia MoscardóTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 7, 2023Colonia Moscardó 1-1 TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 16, 2022Colonia Moscardó 0-1 TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 17, 2021Torrejón 2-0 Colonia MoscardóTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Torrejón vs Colonia Moscardó on Feb 25, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Colonia Moscardó score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Torrejón score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Colonia Moscardó1.11.355/158/15
Torrejón1.71.5211/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Torrejón341798574660

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Colonia Moscardó vs Torrejón?
The Footlab model makes Torrejón the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Colonia Moscardó.
Where and when is Colonia Moscardó vs Torrejón played?
Colonia Moscardó vs Torrejón is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Valero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Colonia Moscardó and Torrejón

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