Alcochetense vs Maritimo: prediction and stats
Taça de PortugalRound of 64Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio António Almeida Correia, Alcochete
The Footlab AI model makes Maritimo the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Alcochetense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Maritimo wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcochetense vs Maritimo?
Maritimo starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (2,056 vs 1,934).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcochetense vs Maritimo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcochetense
Not enough data to predict the Alcochetense lineup.
Maritimo
4-2-3-1- 17Adrián Butzke
- 14Raphael Guzzo
- 10Martín Tejón
- 8M. Dominguez
- 18V. Danilović
- 6Rodrigo Andrade
- 2Igor Julião
- 23Paulo Henrique
- 44Romain Correia
- 22G. Szalai
- 30Fran Vieites
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 02:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcochetense have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Maritimo have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santa Clara B(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Aljustrelense(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CF Benfica(home) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Imortal Albufeira(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Fayal(home) | 8-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Porto(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | GIL Vicente(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Arouca(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Alcochetense score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maritimo score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcochetense | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Maritimo | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Alcochetense vs Maritimo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcochetense vs Maritimo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maritimo the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Alcochetense.
- Where and when is Alcochetense vs Maritimo played?
- Alcochetense vs Maritimo is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio António Almeida Correia, in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.