Alcoyano vs Mallorca: prediction and stats
Copa del ReyRound of 128Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Collao, Alcoy
The Footlab AI model makes Mallorca the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Alcoyano. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,202 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcoyano vs Mallorca?
Mallorca starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (2,098 vs 1,958).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcoyano vs Mallorca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcoyano
Not enough data to predict the Alcoyano lineup.
Mallorca
4-4-2- 18Fuentes
- 20Pablo Torre
- 7Álex Sala
- 33Adrian Liso
- 6Antonio Sánchez
- 11Zito Luvumbo
- 21Raíllo
- 15John Nwankwo
- 24M. Valjent
- 5Alberto Moreno
- 1Arnau Tenas
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 02:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcoyano have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Mallorca have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Girona(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Alcoyano score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mallorca score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcoyano | 0.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Mallorca | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Alcoyano vs Mallorca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcoyano vs Mallorca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mallorca the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Alcoyano.
- Where and when is Alcoyano vs Mallorca played?
- Alcoyano vs Mallorca is played on October 28, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Collao, in the Copa del Rey.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.