Match

Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 12Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires

AldosiviSarmiento Junin

The Footlab AI model makes Aldosivi the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Sarmiento Junin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aldosivi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Aldosivi (1,796) and Sarmiento Junin (1,858).

38%31%31%
Aldosivi winDrawSarmiento Junin win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Aldosivi

4-4-1-1
  1. 29A. Vombergar
  1. 19L. Castro
  2. 10N. Gaitán
  3. 8M. García
  4. 24F. Anso
  5. 5N. Linares
  1. 32J. Pombo
  2. 13B. Cufré
  3. 25N. Breitenbruch
  4. 14E. López
  1. 42Lucas Acosta

Sarmiento Junin

4-4-2
  1. 27J. Marabel
  2. 24J. Herrera
  1. 16Mauricio Leonel Martínez
  2. 21J. Mavilla
  3. 15C. Zabala
  4. 19J. Contrera
  1. 2J. Insaurralde
  2. 44R. Orihuela
  3. 8S. Salle
  4. 77N. Pasquini
  1. 12T. Ayala

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:07 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aldosivi have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Sarmiento Junin have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aldosivi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Huracan(away)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 21, 2026Atletico Tucuman(home)1-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 12, 2026Independ. Rivadavia(away)3-4Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 5, 2026Banfield(home)3-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 30, 2026Argentinos JRS(away)1-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Sarmiento Junin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026Racing Club(away)1-3Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 13, 2026Belgrano Cordoba(home)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 4, 2026Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(away)2-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 28, 2026Union Santa Fe(away)1-4Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 23, 2026Estudiantes L.P.(home)2-0Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Aldosivi wins, 1 draw, 5 Sarmiento Junin wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026Sarmiento Junin 2-0 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
Sep 14, 2025Sarmiento Junin 2-0 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
Mar 1, 2025Aldosivi 2-2 Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina
Sep 3, 2022Aldosivi 1-2 Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina
Oct 9, 2021Sarmiento Junin 3-0 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
Mar 24, 2018Sarmiento Junin 1-0 AldosiviPrimera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Sarmiento Junin vs Aldosivi on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Aldosivi score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sarmiento Junin score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Aldosivi1.11.6210/158/15
Sarmiento Junin1.31.749/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aldosivi sit 14th in Liga Profesional Argentina (8 points from 11 matches) and Sarmiento Junin sit 7th (16 points from 10 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Sarmiento Junin10514171616
14Aldosivi1122712178

A question about Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin?
The Footlab AI model makes Aldosivi the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Sarmiento Junin.
Where and when is Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin played?
Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin is played on October 9, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio José María Minella, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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