Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 12Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Gimnasia L.P. the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Atletico Tucuman. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Gimnasia L.P. (1,879) and Atletico Tucuman (1,859).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnasia L.P. have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Atletico Tucuman have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimnasia M.(home) | 2-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra(away) | 1-1 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(away) | 0-4 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Barracas Central(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Aldosivi(away) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Instituto Cordoba(home) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Independiente(home) | 4-0 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sarmiento Junin(home) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Huracan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gimnasia L.P. win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Atletico Tucuman win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman 1-0 Gimnasia L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Gimnasia L.P. 1-0 Atletico Tucuman | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 24, 2025 | Atletico Tucuman 0-1 Gimnasia L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Gimnasia L.P. 1-0 Atletico Tucuman | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| May 23, 2024 | Atletico Tucuman 1-2 Gimnasia L.P. | Copa Argentina |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Atletico Tucuman 3-2 Gimnasia L.P. | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Tucuman vs Gimnasia L.P. on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnasia L.P. score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Tucuman score 1.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia L.P. | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Atletico Tucuman | 1.1 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimnasia L.P. sit 6th in Liga Profesional Argentina (26 points from 16 matches) and Atletico Tucuman sit 13th (14 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Atletico Tucuman | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 26 |
| 7 | Gimnasia L.P. | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman?
- The Footlab model makes Gimnasia L.P. the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Atletico Tucuman.
- Where and when is Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman played?
- Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico Tucuman is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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