Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 12Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Domingo Perón, Ciudad de Córdoba, Provincia de Córdoba
The Footlab model makes Instituto Cordoba the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Boca Juniors. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors?
Boca Juniors starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,981 vs 1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Instituto Cordoba have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Boca Juniors have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Central Cordoba de Santiago(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gimnasia M.(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Lanus(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Platense(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Racing Club(away) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Deportivo Recoleta(away) | 4-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Platense(away) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Deportivo Recoleta(home) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Velez Sarsfield(home) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Instituto Cordoba win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Boca Juniors win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Boca Juniors 2-0 Instituto Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Instituto Cordoba 0-0 Boca Juniors | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Boca Juniors 2-3 Instituto Cordoba | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Boca Juniors vs Instituto Cordoba on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Instituto Cordoba score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Boca Juniors score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Instituto Cordoba | 1.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Boca Juniors | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Instituto Cordoba sit 9th in Liga Profesional Argentina (21 points from 16 matches) and Boca Juniors sit 2nd (30 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 30 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 21 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors?
- The Footlab model makes Instituto Cordoba the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Boca Juniors.
- Where and when is Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors played?
- Instituto Cordoba vs Boca Juniors is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Domingo Perón, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 11, 2026Gimnasia L.P.vsAtletico Tucuman
- Oct 11, 2026River PlatevsEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- Oct 11, 2026Racing ClubvsBelgrano Cordoba
- Oct 11, 2026Rosario CentralvsIndepend. Rivadavia
- Oct 11, 2026Union Santa FevsDefensa Y Justicia
- Oct 11, 2026LanusvsVelez Sarsfield
- Oct 11, 2026TigrevsBanfield
- Oct 11, 2026Talleres CordobavsIndependiente