Match

River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 12Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Mâs Monumental, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires

River PlateEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto

The Footlab model makes River Plate the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto?

River Plate starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,928 vs 1,732).

River Plate win63 %
Draw24 %
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, River Plate have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have 1, 4 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

River Plate
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Velez Sarsfield(home)2-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 20, 2026Santa Fe(away)0-0CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 16, 2026Argentinos JRS(home)2-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 8, 2026Tigre(away)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 2, 2026Rosario Central(home)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026San Lorenzo(home)0-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 17, 2026Atletico Tucuman(home)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 8, 2026Independ. Rivadavia(away)1-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 1, 2026Banfield(home)0-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Jul 29, 2026Argentinos JRS(away)0-3Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 River Plate win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0-2 River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina

Last archived meeting: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs River Plate on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

River Plate score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto score 0.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
River Plate1.11.056/155/15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0.31.253/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

River Plate sit 2nd in Liga Profesional Argentina (29 points from 16 matches) and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto sit 15th (5 points from 16 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2River Plate16925221229
12Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto6123265
13River Plate6114464
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135245

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto?
The Footlab model makes River Plate the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.
Where and when is River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto played?
River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Mâs Monumental, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: River Plate and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

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