River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 12Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Mâs Monumental, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes River Plate the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto?
River Plate starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,928 vs 1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, River Plate have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Velez Sarsfield(home) | 2-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Santa Fe(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Argentinos JRS(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tigre(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rosario Central(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | San Lorenzo(home) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Banfield(home) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Argentinos JRS(away) | 0-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 River Plate win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0-2 River Plate | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs River Plate on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
River Plate score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto score 0.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| River Plate | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 0.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
River Plate sit 2nd in Liga Profesional Argentina (29 points from 16 matches) and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto sit 15th (5 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 29 |
| 12 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| 13 | River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto?
- The Footlab model makes River Plate the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 13% for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto.
- Where and when is River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto played?
- River Plate vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Mâs Monumental, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 11, 2026Gimnasia L.P.vsAtletico Tucuman
- Oct 11, 2026Racing ClubvsBelgrano Cordoba
- Oct 11, 2026Rosario CentralvsIndepend. Rivadavia
- Oct 11, 2026Union Santa FevsDefensa Y Justicia
- Oct 11, 2026LanusvsVelez Sarsfield
- Oct 11, 2026TigrevsBanfield
- Oct 11, 2026Talleres CordobavsIndependiente
- Oct 11, 2026San LorenzovsDeportivo Riestra