Match

San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 12Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Estadio Pedro Bidegaín, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires

San LorenzoDeportivo Riestra

The Footlab AI model makes Deportivo Riestra the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for San Lorenzo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Deportivo Riestra wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate San Lorenzo (1,857) and Deportivo Riestra (1,836).

33%31%36%
San Lorenzo winDrawDeportivo Riestra win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

San Lorenzo

3-4-1-2
  1. 9A. Cuello
  2. 29R. Auzmendi
  1. 24N. Tripichio
  2. 38F. Farías
  3. 5I. Perruzzi
  4. 6M. de Ritis
  5. 8M. Insaurralde
  1. 2D. Arboleda
  2. 16G. Corujo
  3. 19E. Amor
  1. 25J. Devecchi

Deportivo Riestra

4-4-2
  1. 7Antony Daniel Alonso Espinoza
  2. 29M. Graneros
  1. 8M. Céliz
  2. 27J. Goitía
  3. 14P. Monje
  4. 10B. Sánchez
  1. 22C. Paz
  2. 15N. Sansotre
  3. 36M. Bracamonte
  4. 19J. Randazzo
  1. 1I. Arce

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:36 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Lorenzo have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Deportivo Riestra have 2, 9 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Lorenzo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Defensa Y Justicia(away)0-3Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 20, 2026Boca Juniors(home)0-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 13, 2026Independiente(away)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 5, 2026Talleres Cordoba(home)1-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 1, 2026Instituto Cordoba(away)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Deportivo Riestra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 5, 2026Central Cordoba de Santiago(home)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 19, 2026Gimnasia M.(away)0-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 14, 2026Lanus(home)0-3Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 9, 2026Banfield(home)1-1Copa Argentina
Sep 4, 2026Platense(away)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 San Lorenzo win, 3 draws, 1 Deportivo Riestra win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 17, 2026San Lorenzo 1-1 Deportivo RiestraCopa Argentina
Mar 25, 2026Deportivo Riestra 1-1 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
Oct 31, 2025San Lorenzo 1-0 Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
Apr 20, 2025Deportivo Riestra 0-0 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
May 12, 2024Deportivo Riestra 1-0 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina

Last archived meeting: San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra on Jul 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

San Lorenzo score 0.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Riestra score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
San Lorenzo0.51.144/152/15
Deportivo Riestra0.91.048/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

San Lorenzo sit 12th in Liga Profesional Argentina (11 points from 11 matches) and Deportivo Riestra sit 11th (11 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Deportivo Riestra1125491111
12San Lorenzo1132641111

A question about San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra?
The Footlab AI model makes Deportivo Riestra the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for San Lorenzo.
Where and when is San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra played?
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra is played on October 11, 2026 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Bidegaín, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: San Lorenzo and Deportivo Riestra

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