Match

Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:45 AM (UTC)Estadio 15 de Abril, Ciudad de Santa Fe, Provincia de Santa Fe

Union Santa FeDefensa Y Justicia

The Footlab AI model makes Union Santa Fe the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Defensa Y Justicia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Union Santa Fe wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Union Santa Fe (1,875) and Defensa Y Justicia (1,893).

44%29%27%
Union Santa Fe winDrawDefensa Y Justicia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Union Santa Fe

4-1-4-1
  1. 25C. Tarragona
  1. 22B. Cuello
  2. 20J. Palacios
  3. 10V. Malcorra
  4. 17J. Mosqueira
  5. 5L. Menossi
  1. 26J. Ludueña
  2. 18L. Ayala
  3. 15J. Pintado
  4. 4M. Rocha
  1. 21M. Mansilla

Defensa Y Justicia

4-1-4-1
  1. 9L. Fernández
  1. 19D. Barbona
  2. 24J. Gutiérrez
  3. 15S. Sosa
  4. 26J. Lucco
  5. 8C. Pérez
  1. 29D. Fernández
  2. 21D. Martínez
  3. 3F. Román
  4. 28V. Loza
  1. 1M. Borgogno

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 06:48 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Santa Fe have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Defensa Y Justicia have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union Santa Fe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Boca Juniors(away)0-3Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 19, 2026Independiente(home)1-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 12, 2026Talleres Cordoba(away)1-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 8, 2026Instituto Cordoba(home)3-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 28, 2026Sarmiento Junin(home)4-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Defensa Y Justicia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026San Lorenzo(home)3-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 18, 2026Central Cordoba de Santiago(away)2-2Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 11, 2026Gimnasia M.(home)2-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Sep 6, 2026Lanus(away)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 31, 2026Platense(home)1-0Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Union Santa Fe win, 3 draws, 2 Defensa Y Justicia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Defensa Y Justicia 2-0 Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
Oct 21, 2025Union Santa Fe 3-0 Defensa Y JusticiaLiga Profesional Argentina
Apr 14, 2025Defensa Y Justicia 0-0 Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
Dec 15, 2024Defensa Y Justicia 0-0 Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina
Mar 10, 2024Defensa Y Justicia 2-1 Union Santa FeCopa de la Liga Profesional
Oct 24, 2023Union Santa Fe 0-0 Defensa Y JusticiaCopa de la Liga Profesional

Last archived meeting: Defensa Y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Union Santa Fe score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Defensa Y Justicia score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Union Santa Fe1.31.7010/1510/15
Defensa Y Justicia1.31.639/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Union Santa Fe sit 10th in Liga Profesional Argentina (13 points from 11 matches) and Defensa Y Justicia sit 3rd (21 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Defensa Y Justicia11632161121
10Union Santa Fe11416171913

A question about Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia?
The Footlab AI model makes Union Santa Fe the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Defensa Y Justicia.
Where and when is Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia played?
Union Santa Fe vs Defensa Y Justicia is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:45 AM (UTC) at Estadio 15 de Abril, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Union Santa Fe and Defensa Y Justicia

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