Tigre vs Banfield: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 12Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Dellagiovanna, San Fernando, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Tigre the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Banfield. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tigre vs Banfield?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Tigre (1,870) and Banfield (1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tigre have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Banfield have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Atletico Torque(away) | 1-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aldosivi(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atletico Torque(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | River Plate(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba(home) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Newells Old Boys(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Midland(home) | 2-2 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Racing Club(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba(home) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tigre win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Banfield win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Banfield 1-0 Tigre | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Banfield 1-0 Tigre | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jun 26, 2025 | Tigre 2-0 Banfield | Copa Argentina |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Tigre 1-0 Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Banfield 0-1 Tigre | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 5, 2023 | Tigre 1-2 Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
How many goals should we expect?
Tigre score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Banfield score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigre | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Banfield | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tigre sit 10th in Liga Profesional Argentina (20 points from 16 matches) and Banfield sit 12th (18 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Tigre | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 20 |
| 11 | Banfield | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tigre vs Banfield?
- The Footlab model makes Tigre the favourite at 61%, against 24% for a draw and 15% for Banfield.
- Where and when is Tigre vs Banfield played?
- Tigre vs Banfield is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Dellagiovanna, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 11, 2026Gimnasia L.P.vsAtletico Tucuman
- Oct 11, 2026River PlatevsEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- Oct 11, 2026Racing ClubvsBelgrano Cordoba
- Oct 11, 2026Rosario CentralvsIndepend. Rivadavia
- Oct 11, 2026Union Santa FevsDefensa Y Justicia
- Oct 11, 2026LanusvsVelez Sarsfield
- Oct 11, 2026Talleres CordobavsIndependiente
- Oct 11, 2026San LorenzovsDeportivo Riestra