Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Neuer Tivoli, Aachen
The Footlab model makes Alemannia Aachen the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Hansa Rostock. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Alemannia Aachen (2,027) and Hansa Rostock (1,983).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alemannia Aachen have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Hansa Rostock have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Verl(home) | 4-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Roda(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 10, 2026 | SV Breinig(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 0-4 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Waldhof Mannheim(home) | 3-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(away) | 3-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Alemannia Aachen win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Hansa Rostock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen 1-1 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Hansa Rostock 2-2 Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Alemannia Aachen 2-1 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Hansa Rostock 1-2 Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga |
| Apr 12, 2013 | Alemannia Aachen 3-4 Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Hansa Rostock 1-0 Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alemannia Aachen score 3.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hansa Rostock score 2.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alemannia Aachen | 3.0 | 0.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Hansa Rostock | 2.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alemannia Aachen sit 4th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Hansa Rostock sit 6th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Alemannia Aachen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock?
- The Footlab model makes Alemannia Aachen the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Hansa Rostock.
- Where and when is Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock played?
- Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Neuer Tivoli, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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