Fortuna Köln vs Stuttgart II: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Südstadion, Köln
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Stuttgart II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Köln vs Stuttgart II?
Fortuna Köln starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (2,039 vs 1,853).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Stuttgart II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(home) | 1-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Havelse(away) | 3-2 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Astoria Walldorf(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Normannia Gmünd(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Fortuna Köln win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Stuttgart II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2016 | Fortuna Köln 1-3 Stuttgart II | 3. Liga |
| Sep 27, 2015 | Stuttgart II 3-0 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
| Apr 4, 2015 | Fortuna Köln 0-1 Stuttgart II | 3. Liga |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Stuttgart II 3-1 Fortuna Köln | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Köln vs Stuttgart II on Mar 12, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Stuttgart II score 2.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Stuttgart II | 2.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Köln sit 16th in 3. Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Stuttgart II sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Stuttgart II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 16 | Fortuna Köln | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln vs Stuttgart II?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Stuttgart II.
- Where and when is Fortuna Köln vs Stuttgart II played?
- Fortuna Köln vs Stuttgart II is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Südstadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Fortuna DüsseldorfvsFC Saarbrücken
- Oct 17, 2026SSV Jahn RegensburgvsSV Wehen
- Oct 17, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04vsRot-Weiß Essen
- Oct 17, 2026MSV DuisburgvsFC Viktoria Köln
- Oct 17, 2026Würzburger KickersvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Oct 17, 2026SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvsPreußen Münster
- Oct 17, 2026SV MeppenvsHavelse
- Oct 17, 2026Alemannia AachenvsHansa Rostock