Alemannia Aachen vs Havelse: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Neuer Tivoli, Aachen
The Footlab model makes Alemannia Aachen the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Havelse. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alemannia Aachen vs Havelse?
Alemannia Aachen starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (2,027 vs 1,824).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alemannia Aachen have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Havelse have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(away) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Verl(home) | 4-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Roda(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 10, 2026 | SV Breinig(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stuttgart II(home) | 2-3 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Alemannia Aachen win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Havelse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen 6-1 Havelse | 3. Liga |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Havelse 1-1 Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Alemannia Aachen vs Havelse on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alemannia Aachen score 3.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Havelse score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alemannia Aachen | 3.0 | 0.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Havelse | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alemannia Aachen sit 4th in 3. Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Havelse sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Alemannia Aachen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 17 | Havelse | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alemannia Aachen vs Havelse?
- The Footlab model makes Alemannia Aachen the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Havelse.
- Where and when is Alemannia Aachen vs Havelse played?
- Alemannia Aachen vs Havelse is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Neuer Tivoli, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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