Hoffenheim II vs FC Saarbrücken: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion, Sinsheim
The Footlab model makes Hoffenheim II the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for FC Saarbrücken. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hoffenheim II vs FC Saarbrücken?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Hoffenheim II (1,887) and FC Saarbrücken (1,912).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoffenheim II have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; FC Saarbrücken have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(away) | 2-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(home) | 2-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Freiburg II(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SSV Jahn Regensburg(away) | 1-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(home) | 5-2 | 3. Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Augsburg(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Hoffenheim II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 FC Saarbrücken win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Hoffenheim II 3-2 FC Saarbrücken | 3. Liga |
| Dec 13, 2025 | FC Saarbrücken 2-2 Hoffenheim II | 3. Liga |
| Sep 17, 2019 | FC Saarbrücken 0-0 Hoffenheim II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: Hoffenheim II vs FC Saarbrücken on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hoffenheim II score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Saarbrücken score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim II | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Saarbrücken | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hoffenheim II sit 9th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and FC Saarbrücken sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Saarbrücken | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Hoffenheim II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hoffenheim II vs FC Saarbrücken?
- The Footlab model makes Hoffenheim II the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for FC Saarbrücken.
- Where and when is Hoffenheim II vs FC Saarbrücken played?
- Hoffenheim II vs FC Saarbrücken is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Fortuna DüsseldorfvsSV Wehen
- Dec 5, 2026SSV Jahn RegensburgvsPreußen Münster
- Dec 5, 2026MSV DuisburgvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Dec 5, 2026Würzburger KickersvsFC Viktoria Köln
- Dec 5, 2026SV MeppenvsRot-Weiß Essen
- Dec 5, 2026Fortuna KölnvsHansa Rostock
- Dec 5, 2026Alemannia AachenvsHavelse
- Dec 5, 2026VerlvsFC Ingolstadt 04