Match

Alfreton Town vs Bamber Bridge: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Impact Arena, Alfreton, Derbyshire

Alfreton TownBamber Bridge

The Footlab model makes Alfreton Town the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Bamber Bridge. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alfreton Town vs Bamber Bridge?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Alfreton Town (1,717) and Bamber Bridge (1,659).

Alfreton Town win48 %
Draw26 %
Bamber Bridge win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alfreton Town have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Bamber Bridge have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alfreton Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Hyde United(home)4-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026Stockton Town(away)0-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Cleethorpes Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Avro(home)3-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Gainsborough Trinity(home)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Bamber Bridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026United of Manchester(home)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026Leek Town(away)1-4Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Curzon Ashton(away)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Ashton United(home)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Avro(home)1-6Non League Premier - Northern

How many goals should we expect?

Alfreton Town score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bamber Bridge score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Alfreton Town1.31.836/1510/15
Bamber Bridge0.92.519/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alfreton Town sit 9th in Non League Premier - Northern (9 points from 6 matches) and Bamber Bridge sit 19th (5 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Alfreton Town63031069
19Bamber Bridge61236155

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alfreton Town vs Bamber Bridge?
The Footlab model makes Alfreton Town the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Bamber Bridge.
Where and when is Alfreton Town vs Bamber Bridge played?
Alfreton Town vs Bamber Bridge is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Impact Arena, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Alfreton Town and Bamber Bridge

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