Curzon Ashton vs Lancaster City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Curzon Ashton the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Lancaster City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Curzon Ashton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,714 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Curzon Ashton vs Lancaster City?
Curzon Ashton starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,791 vs 1,688).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Curzon Ashton vs Lancaster City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Curzon Ashton
4-3-3- 9J. Spencer
- 7I. Buckley-Ricketts
- 17M. Afuye
- 4M. Poscha
- 11W. Hayhurst
- 11I. Sinclair
- 2Oluwatimilehin Sobowale
- 19J. Richards
- 15M. Litherland
- 3Luis Frances John Lacey
- 13J. Ollerenshaw
Lancaster City
Not enough data to predict the Lancaster City lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 01:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Curzon Ashton have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Lancaster City have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bridlington Town(away) | 2-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Curzon Ashton wins, 1 draw, 0 Lancaster City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lancaster City 0-2 Curzon Ashton | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 1, 2013 | Lancaster City 1-2 Curzon Ashton | FA Cup |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Curzon Ashton 0-0 Lancaster City | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Lancaster City vs Curzon Ashton on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Curzon Ashton score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lancaster City score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curzon Ashton | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Lancaster City | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Curzon Ashton sit 4th in Non League Premier - Northern (31 points from 16 matches) and Lancaster City sit 13th (21 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Curzon Ashton | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 31 |
| 13 | Lancaster City | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 21 |
A question about Curzon Ashton vs Lancaster City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Curzon Ashton vs Lancaster City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Curzon Ashton the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Lancaster City.
- Where and when is Curzon Ashton vs Lancaster City played?
- Curzon Ashton vs Lancaster City is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tameside Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Jan 23, 2027Leek TownvsRedcar Athletic
- Jan 23, 2027Cleethorpes TownvsAshton United
- Jan 23, 2027Warrington TownvsUnited of Manchester
- Jan 23, 2027Whitby TownvsHyde United
- Jan 23, 2027AvrovsGainsborough Trinity
- Jan 23, 2027QuornvsGuiseley AFC