Match

Cleethorpes Town vs Ashton United: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The myenergi Stadium, Grimsby, Lincolnshire

Cleethorpes TownAshton United

The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Ashton United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cleethorpes Town vs Ashton United?

A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Cleethorpes Town (1,830) and Ashton United (1,753).

Cleethorpes Town win53 %
Draw25 %
Ashton United win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cleethorpes Town have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Ashton United have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cleethorpes Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Whitby Town(home)6-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026Ilkeston Town(away)3-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Alfreton Town(home)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Warrington Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Quorn(away)5-0Non League Premier - Northern
Ashton United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Ilkeston Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026AFC Emley(away)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Whitby Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Bamber Bridge(away)0-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Stockton Town(away)1-0Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Cleethorpes Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ashton United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Cleethorpes Town 2-2 Ashton UnitedNon League Premier - Northern
Nov 1, 2025Ashton United 0-4 Cleethorpes TownNon League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: Cleethorpes Town vs Ashton United on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cleethorpes Town score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ashton United score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cleethorpes Town1.90.776/157/15
Ashton United1.31.139/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cleethorpes Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Northern (16 points from 6 matches) and Ashton United sit 6th (11 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Cleethorpes Town651019216
6Ashton United63219411

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cleethorpes Town vs Ashton United?
The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Ashton United.
Where and when is Cleethorpes Town vs Ashton United played?
Cleethorpes Town vs Ashton United is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The myenergi Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cleethorpes Town and Ashton United

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