Cleethorpes Town vs Ashton United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The myenergi Stadium, Grimsby, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Ashton United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cleethorpes Town vs Ashton United?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Cleethorpes Town (1,830) and Ashton United (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cleethorpes Town have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Ashton United have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 6-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Cleethorpes Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ashton United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town 2-2 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Ashton United 0-4 Cleethorpes Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Cleethorpes Town vs Ashton United on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cleethorpes Town score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ashton United score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleethorpes Town | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Ashton United | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cleethorpes Town sit 1st in Non League Premier - Northern (16 points from 6 matches) and Ashton United sit 6th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Ashton United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cleethorpes Town vs Ashton United?
- The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Ashton United.
- Where and when is Cleethorpes Town vs Ashton United played?
- Cleethorpes Town vs Ashton United is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The myenergi Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027Alfreton TownvsBamber Bridge
- Jan 23, 2027Curzon AshtonvsLancaster City
- Jan 23, 2027Ilkeston TownvsWorkington
- Jan 23, 2027Leek TownvsRedcar Athletic
- Jan 23, 2027Warrington TownvsUnited of Manchester
- Jan 23, 2027Whitby TownvsHyde United
- Jan 23, 2027AvrovsGainsborough Trinity
- Jan 23, 2027QuornvsGuiseley AFC