Leek Town vs Redcar Athletic: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)F. Ball Community Stadium, Leek, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Redcar Athletic the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Leek Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Redcar Athletic wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,583 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leek Town vs Redcar Athletic?
Redcar Athletic starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,972 vs 1,834).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leek Town vs Redcar Athletic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leek Town
Not enough data to predict the Leek Town lineup.
Redcar Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Redcar Athletic lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 09:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leek Town have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Redcar Athletic have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 3-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ashton United(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Avro(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Leek Town wins, 0 draws, 1 Redcar Athletic win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Redcar Athletic 3-2 Leek Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Redcar Athletic vs Leek Town on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leek Town score 2.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Redcar Athletic score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leek Town | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Redcar Athletic | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leek Town sit 15th in Non League Premier - Northern (14 points from 13 matches) and Redcar Athletic sit 1st (34 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 33 | 13 | 34 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 14 |
A question about Leek Town vs Redcar Athletic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leek Town vs Redcar Athletic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Redcar Athletic the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Leek Town.
- Where and when is Leek Town vs Redcar Athletic played?
- Leek Town vs Redcar Athletic is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at F. Ball Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027Alfreton TownvsBamber Bridge
- Jan 23, 2027Curzon AshtonvsLancaster City
- Jan 23, 2027Ilkeston TownvsWorkington
- Jan 23, 2027Cleethorpes TownvsAshton United
- Jan 23, 2027Warrington TownvsUnited of Manchester
- Jan 23, 2027Whitby TownvsHyde United
- Jan 23, 2027AvrovsGainsborough Trinity
- Jan 23, 2027QuornvsGuiseley AFC