Ashton United vs Guiseley AFC: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hurst Cross, Ashton-under-Lyne, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Ashton United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guiseley AFC wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,094 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ashton United vs Guiseley AFC?
Guiseley AFC starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,853 vs 1,675).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ashton United vs Guiseley AFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ashton United
Not enough data to predict the Ashton United lineup.
Guiseley AFC
Not enough data to predict the Guiseley AFC lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 09:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashton United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Guiseley AFC have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Workington(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Avro(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ashton United wins, 2 draws, 4 Guiseley AFC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ashton United 1-1 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Guiseley AFC 4-2 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Guiseley AFC 1-0 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Ashton United 2-4 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Guiseley AFC 3-0 Ashton United | FA Cup |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Ashton United 1-1 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Ashton United vs Guiseley AFC on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ashton United score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guiseley AFC score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton United | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Guiseley AFC | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ashton United sit 17th in Non League Premier - Northern (17 points from 17 matches) and Guiseley AFC sit 4th (32 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Guiseley AFC | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 32 |
| 17 | Ashton United | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 17 |
A question about Ashton United vs Guiseley AFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ashton United vs Guiseley AFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Ashton United.
- Where and when is Ashton United vs Guiseley AFC played?
- Ashton United vs Guiseley AFC is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hurst Cross, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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