Where and when is Ashton United vs Guiseley AFC played?

Ashton United vs Guiseley AFC is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hurst Cross, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ashton United vs Guiseley AFC: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hurst Cross, Ashton-under-Lyne, Greater Manchester

Ashton United

Guiseley AFC

The Footlab model makes Ashton United the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Guiseley AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ashton United vs Guiseley AFC?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Ashton United (1,753) and Guiseley AFC (1,768).

Ashton United win37 %

Draw27 %

Guiseley AFC win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashton United have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Guiseley AFC have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ashton United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Ilkeston Town(home)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	AFC Emley(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Whitby Town(home)	2-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Bamber Bridge(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Stockton Town(away)	1-0	Non League Premier - Northern

Guiseley AFC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Stockton Town(home)	3-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	Curzon Ashton(away)	2-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Bury(home)	3-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Workington(away)	2-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Whitby Town(away)	2-0	Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ashton United win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Guiseley AFC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Ashton United 1-1 Guiseley AFC	Non League Premier - Northern
Nov 22, 2025	Guiseley AFC 4-2 Ashton United	Non League Premier - Northern
Mar 1, 2025	Guiseley AFC 1-0 Ashton United	Non League Premier - Northern
Nov 19, 2024	Ashton United 2-4 Guiseley AFC	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 31, 2024	Guiseley AFC 3-0 Ashton United	FA Cup
Feb 10, 2024	Ashton United 1-1 Guiseley AFC	Non League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: Ashton United vs Guiseley AFC on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ashton United score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guiseley AFC score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ashton United	1.3	1.1	3	9/15	6/15
Guiseley AFC	1.8	1.5	3	12/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ashton United sit 6th in Non League Premier - Northern (11 points from 6 matches) and Guiseley AFC sit 2nd (13 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Guiseley AFC	6	4	1	1	13	7	13
6	Ashton United	6	3	2	1	9	4	11

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ashton United vs Guiseley AFC?: The Footlab model makes Ashton United the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Guiseley AFC.
Where and when is Ashton United vs Guiseley AFC played?: Ashton United vs Guiseley AFC is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hurst Cross, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.