Match

Ilkeston Town vs Curzon Ashton: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)New Manor Ground, Ilkeston, Derbyshire

Ilkeston TownCurzon Ashton

The Footlab AI model makes Curzon Ashton the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Ilkeston Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Curzon Ashton wins, the most likely score is 0-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,767 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ilkeston Town vs Curzon Ashton?

Curzon Ashton starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,791 vs 1,634).

17%22%61%
Ilkeston Town winDrawCurzon Ashton win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ilkeston Town vs Curzon Ashton

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ilkeston Town

4-3-3
  1. OO. Brown-Hill
  2. ZZ. Goodson
  3. JJ. Watts
  1. JJack Thomas
  2. JJ. Reid
  3. BBilly Bennett
  1. JJ. Maguire
  2. KK. Fenton
  3. AA. Troke
  4. RRyan Wilson
  1. RR. Durrant

Curzon Ashton

4-3-3
  1. 9J. Spencer
  2. 7I. Buckley-Ricketts
  3. 17M. Afuye
  1. 4M. Poscha
  2. 11W. Hayhurst
  3. 11I. Sinclair
  1. 2Oluwatimilehin Sobowale
  2. 19J. Richards
  3. 15M. Litherland
  4. 3Luis Frances John Lacey
  1. 13J. Ollerenshaw

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 05:35 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilkeston Town have 2 wins, 1 draw and 12 defeats; Curzon Ashton have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ilkeston Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Hyde United(home)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 17, 2026Avro(home)2-0Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 13, 2026Gainsborough Trinity(away)1-3Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 10, 2026Redcar Athletic(home)0-5Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 6, 2026Guiseley AFC(home)0-2Non League Premier - Northern
Curzon Ashton
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2026United of Manchester(home)1-0Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 31, 2026Leek Town(home)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 27, 2026Gainsborough Trinity(away)3-0Non League Premier - Northern
Oct 24, 2026Bridlington Town(away)2-2FA Trophy
Oct 17, 2026Whitby Town(away)0-1Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Ilkeston Town wins, 0 draws, 1 Curzon Ashton win.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 15, 2025Ilkeston Town 0-1 Curzon AshtonFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Ilkeston Town vs Curzon Ashton on Nov 15, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ilkeston Town score 0.7 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Curzon Ashton score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ilkeston Town0.72.527/159/15
Curzon Ashton2.01.168/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ilkeston Town sit 20th in Non League Premier - Northern (13 points from 16 matches) and Curzon Ashton sit 4th (31 points from 16 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Curzon Ashton161015301831
20Ilkeston Town164111113413

A question about Ilkeston Town vs Curzon Ashton?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ilkeston Town vs Curzon Ashton?
The Footlab AI model makes Curzon Ashton the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Ilkeston Town.
Where and when is Ilkeston Town vs Curzon Ashton played?
Ilkeston Town vs Curzon Ashton is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Manor Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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