Where and when is Ilkeston Town vs Curzon Ashton played?

Ilkeston Town vs Curzon Ashton is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Manor Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ilkeston Town vs Curzon Ashton: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)New Manor Ground, Ilkeston, Derbyshire

Ilkeston Town

Curzon Ashton

The Footlab model makes Ilkeston Town the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Curzon Ashton. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ilkeston Town vs Curzon Ashton?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Ilkeston Town (1,732) and Curzon Ashton (1,710).

Ilkeston Town win44 %

Draw27 %

Curzon Ashton win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilkeston Town have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Curzon Ashton have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ilkeston Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Ashton United(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	Cleethorpes Town(home)	0-3	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Warrington Town(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Whitby Town(away)	0-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	AFC Emley(away)	2-1	Non League Premier - Northern

Curzon Ashton
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Warrington Town(away)	4-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	Guiseley AFC(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Bamber Bridge(home)	2-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 14, 2026	AFC Emley(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Bury(away)	2-3	Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ilkeston Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Curzon Ashton win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 15, 2025	Ilkeston Town 0-1 Curzon Ashton	FA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Ilkeston Town vs Curzon Ashton on Nov 15, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ilkeston Town score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Curzon Ashton score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ilkeston Town	1.1	1.1	4	7/15	6/15
Curzon Ashton	1.3	1.9	4	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ilkeston Town sit 13th in Non League Premier - Northern (6 points from 5 matches) and Curzon Ashton sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Ilkeston Town	5	2	0	3	4	8	6
16	Curzon Ashton	5	1	1	3	7	9	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ilkeston Town vs Curzon Ashton?: The Footlab model makes Ilkeston Town the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Curzon Ashton.
Where and when is Ilkeston Town vs Curzon Ashton played?: Ilkeston Town vs Curzon Ashton is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Manor Ground, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.