Match

Algar vs Olímpico Totana: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sánchez Luengo, El Algar

AlgarOlímpico Totana

The Footlab model makes Olímpico Totana the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Algar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Algar vs Olímpico Totana?

Olímpico Totana starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,597).

Algar win25 %
Draw29 %
Olímpico Totana win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Olímpico Totana have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Algar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2024Plus Ultra(home)4-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 5, 2024Bullense(away)0-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 1, 2024Alcantarilla(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 27, 2024Cieza(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 21, 2024El Palmar(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Olímpico Totana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Real Murcia II(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 31, 2026Real Murcia II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 24, 2026Unión Molinense(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 17, 2026Unión Molinense(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 10, 2026Santomera(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

How many goals should we expect?

Algar score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Olímpico Totana score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Algar1.12.328/1510/15
Olímpico Totana1.30.877/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Olímpico Totana3415136442758

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Algar vs Olímpico Totana?
The Footlab model makes Olímpico Totana the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Algar.
Where and when is Algar vs Olímpico Totana played?
Algar vs Olímpico Totana is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Algar and Olímpico Totana

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