Santa Cruz vs Bala Azul: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Bala Azul. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santa Cruz wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,847 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Cruz vs Bala Azul?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Santa Cruz (1,777) and Bala Azul (1,739).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santa Cruz vs Bala Azul
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santa Cruz
Not enough data to predict the Santa Cruz lineup.
Bala Azul
Not enough data to predict the Bala Azul lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 09:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Cruz have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Bala Azul have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Unión Molinense(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alcantarilla(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Santa Cruz wins, 0 draws, 0 Bala Azul wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Bala Azul 0-1 Santa Cruz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Santa Cruz 1-0 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Bala Azul vs Santa Cruz on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Cruz score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bala Azul score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Bala Azul | 1.6 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Cruz sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (15 points from 8 matches) and Bala Azul sit 12th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Santa Cruz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 15 |
| 12 | Bala Azul | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
A question about Santa Cruz vs Bala Azul?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Cruz vs Bala Azul?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Bala Azul.
- Where and when is Santa Cruz vs Bala Azul played?
- Santa Cruz vs Bala Azul is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2027Los GarresvsMazarrón FC
- Feb 28, 2027SFC MinervavsAlcantarilla
- Feb 28, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsÁguilas II
- Feb 28, 2027Unión MolinensevsEl Palmar
- Feb 28, 2027AlgarvsOlímpico Totana
- Feb 28, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsAtlético Pulpileño
- Feb 28, 2027SantomeravsCartagena LU II
- Feb 28, 2027Bullas DeportivovsSan Javier