Unión Molinense vs El Palmar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, Molina de Segura
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for El Palmar. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,593 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unión Molinense vs El Palmar?
Unión Molinense starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,838 vs 1,657).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Unión Molinense vs El Palmar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Unión Molinense
Not enough data to predict the Unión Molinense lineup.
El Palmar
Not enough data to predict the El Palmar lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Molinense have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; El Palmar have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Unión Molinense wins, 2 draws, 0 El Palmar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Unión Molinense 3-0 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | El Palmar 0-1 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | El Palmar 1-1 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Unión Molinense 2-2 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 12, 2024 | Unión Molinense 2-0 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | El Palmar 0-4 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Unión Molinense vs El Palmar on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Unión Molinense score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; El Palmar score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Molinense | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| El Palmar | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Unión Molinense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
A question about Unión Molinense vs El Palmar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unión Molinense vs El Palmar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for El Palmar.
- Where and when is Unión Molinense vs El Palmar played?
- Unión Molinense vs El Palmar is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2027Los GarresvsMazarrón FC
- Feb 28, 2027SFC MinervavsAlcantarilla
- Feb 28, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsÁguilas II
- Feb 28, 2027AlgarvsOlímpico Totana
- Feb 28, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsAtlético Pulpileño
- Feb 28, 2027SantomeravsCartagena LU II
- Feb 28, 2027Santa CruzvsBala Azul
- Feb 28, 2027Bullas DeportivovsSan Javier