Los Garres vs Mazarrón FC: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Tejeras, Murcia
The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Garres vs Mazarrón FC?
Mazarrón FC starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Garres have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Mazarrón FC have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Elche(home) | 0-4 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Manises(home) | 2-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Manises(away) | 0-2 | Copa del Rey |
| May 1, 2022 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 22, 2022 | UD Caravaca(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 16, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Los Garres win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Mazarrón FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | Los Garres 0-2 Mazarrón FC | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Mazarrón FC 1-0 Los Garres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2021 | Mazarrón FC 1-2 Los Garres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Los Garres 3-2 Mazarrón FC | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Los Garres 1-2 Mazarrón FC | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Mazarrón FC 1-2 Los Garres | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Los Garres vs Mazarrón FC on Apr 10, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Los Garres score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mazarrón FC score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Garres | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Mazarrón FC | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mazarrón FC | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 50 | 33 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Garres vs Mazarrón FC?
- The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Los Garres.
- Where and when is Los Garres vs Mazarrón FC played?
- Los Garres vs Mazarrón FC is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Tejeras, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Feb 28, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsÁguilas II
- Feb 28, 2027Unión MolinensevsEl Palmar
- Feb 28, 2027AlgarvsOlímpico Totana
- Feb 28, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsAtlético Pulpileño
- Feb 28, 2027SantomeravsCartagena LU II
- Feb 28, 2027Santa CruzvsBala Azul
- Feb 28, 2027Bullas DeportivovsSan Javier