Match

Los Garres vs Mazarrón FC: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Tejeras, Murcia

Los GarresMazarrón FC

The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Los Garres vs Mazarrón FC?

Mazarrón FC starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,583).

Los Garres win28 %
Draw28 %
Mazarrón FC win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Garres have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Mazarrón FC have 4, 8 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Los Garres
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 29, 2025Elche(home)0-4Copa del Rey
Oct 4, 2025Manises(home)2-0Copa del Rey
Sep 27, 2025Manises(away)0-2Copa del Rey
May 1, 2022Lorca Deportiva(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 22, 2022UD Caravaca(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Mazarrón FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Real Murcia II(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 16, 2026Real Murcia II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 10, 2026Atlético Pulpileño(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026Águilas II(home)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026UCAM Murcia II(away)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Los Garres win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Mazarrón FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 10, 2022Los Garres 0-2 Mazarrón FCTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 28, 2021Mazarrón FC 1-0 Los GarresTercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2021Mazarrón FC 1-2 Los GarresTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 11, 2021Los Garres 3-2 Mazarrón FCTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Mar 8, 2020Los Garres 1-2 Mazarrón FCTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 20, 2019Mazarrón FC 1-2 Los GarresTercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Los Garres vs Mazarrón FC on Apr 10, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Los Garres score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mazarrón FC score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Los Garres0.52.315/158/15
Mazarrón FC1.51.159/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Mazarrón FC3414146503355

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Los Garres vs Mazarrón FC?
The Footlab model makes Mazarrón FC the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Los Garres.
Where and when is Los Garres vs Mazarrón FC played?
Los Garres vs Mazarrón FC is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Tejeras, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Los Garres and Mazarrón FC

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