Santomera vs Cartagena LU II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Limonar, Santomera
The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Cartagena LU II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santomera wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,576 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santomera vs Cartagena LU II?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Santomera (1,749) and Cartagena LU II (1,690).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santomera vs Cartagena LU II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santomera
Not enough data to predict the Santomera lineup.
Cartagena LU II
Not enough data to predict the Cartagena LU II lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 01:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santomera have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Cartagena LU II have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Garres(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Algar(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Los Garres(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Santomera wins, 2 draws, 0 Cartagena LU II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Santomera 2-1 Cartagena LU II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Cartagena LU II 4-4 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Santomera 2-1 Cartagena LU II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Cartagena LU II 3-3 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Santomera vs Cartagena LU II on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santomera score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cartagena LU II score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santomera | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Cartagena LU II | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santomera sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (16 points from 6 matches) and Cartagena LU II sit 12th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 12 | Cartagena LU II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Santomera vs Cartagena LU II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santomera vs Cartagena LU II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Cartagena LU II.
- Where and when is Santomera vs Cartagena LU II played?
- Santomera vs Cartagena LU II is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2027Los GarresvsMazarrón FC
- Feb 28, 2027SFC MinervavsAlcantarilla
- Feb 28, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsÁguilas II
- Feb 28, 2027Unión MolinensevsEl Palmar
- Feb 28, 2027AlgarvsOlímpico Totana
- Feb 28, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsAtlético Pulpileño
- Feb 28, 2027Santa CruzvsBala Azul
- Feb 28, 2027Bullas DeportivovsSan Javier