Alhaurino vs Motril: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, Alhaurín el Grande
The Footlab AI model makes Motril the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Alhaurino. The most likely score is 1-1. If Motril wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,771 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alhaurino vs Motril?
Motril starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,825 vs 1,690).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alhaurino vs Motril
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alhaurino
4-3-3- AAlejandro Guerrero Martín
- II. Ndiaye
- DDiogo Rodrigues de Sousa
- MMiguel Ángel Lupiáñez Gómez
- VVíctor Rueda Pérez
- MManuel González Mora
- DDavid Sánchez Molina
- RRaúl Fernández Ortega
- FFran Moreno
- AAlejandro Jiménez Rios
- JJosé Manuel Pérez García
Motril
Not enough data to predict the Motril lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 01:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alhaurino have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Motril have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marbelli(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Melilla(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Granada II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Málaga II(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cantoria(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Alhaurino wins, 1 draw, 3 Motril wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Motril 2-0 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Alhaurino 0-1 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Motril 2-0 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Alhaurino 1-0 Motril | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Motril 1-1 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Motril 1-2 Alhaurino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Alhaurino score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Motril score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alhaurino | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Motril | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alhaurino sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (9 points from 9 matches) and Motril sit 5th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Motril | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 16 |
| 14 | Alhaurino | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
A question about Alhaurino vs Motril?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alhaurino vs Motril?
- The Footlab AI model makes Motril the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Alhaurino.
- Where and when is Alhaurino vs Motril played?
- Alhaurino vs Motril is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Miguel Fijones, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 24, 2027Atlético PorcunavsAlmería II
- Jan 24, 2027Ciudad de TorredonjimenovsMancha Real
- Jan 24, 2027Huétor VegavsArenas Armilla
- Jan 24, 2027Torre del MarvsMarbelli
- Jan 24, 2027UD San PedrovsChurriana Vega
- Jan 24, 2027Malaga CityvsMelilla
- Jan 24, 2027Atletico de MarbellavsMálaga II
- Jan 24, 2027CantoriavsGranada II