Torre del Mar vs Marbelli: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, Torre del Mar
The Footlab AI model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 40%, against 33% for a draw and 27% for Marbelli. The most likely score is 0-0. If Torre del Mar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,576 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torre del Mar vs Marbelli?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Torre del Mar (1,792) and Marbelli (1,789).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torre del Mar vs Marbelli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torre del Mar
Not enough data to predict the Torre del Mar lineup.
Marbelli
Not enough data to predict the Marbelli lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 01:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torre del Mar have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Marbelli have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Marbelli(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Melilla(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Motril(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Torre del Mar wins, 1 draw, 2 Marbelli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Marbelli 1-0 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Torre del Mar 0-0 Marbelli | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Marbelli 1-2 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Torre del Mar 1-2 Marbelli | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Marbelli 0-1 Torre del Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Marbelli vs Torre del Mar on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torre del Mar score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marbelli score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torre del Mar | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Marbelli | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torre del Mar sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (7 points from 6 matches) and Marbelli sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Marbelli | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 11 | Torre del Mar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Torre del Mar vs Marbelli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torre del Mar vs Marbelli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 40%, against 33% for a draw and 27% for Marbelli.
- Where and when is Torre del Mar vs Marbelli played?
- Torre del Mar vs Marbelli is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 24, 2027Atlético PorcunavsAlmería II
- Jan 24, 2027Ciudad de TorredonjimenovsMancha Real
- Jan 24, 2027Huétor VegavsArenas Armilla
- Jan 24, 2027AlhaurinovsMotril
- Jan 24, 2027UD San PedrovsChurriana Vega
- Jan 24, 2027Malaga CityvsMelilla
- Jan 24, 2027Atletico de MarbellavsMálaga II
- Jan 24, 2027CantoriavsGranada II