Where and when is Torre del Mar vs Marbelli played?

Torre del Mar vs Marbelli is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Torre del Mar vs Marbelli: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, Torre del Mar

Torre del Mar

Marbelli

The Footlab model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 42%, against 33% for a draw and 25% for Marbelli. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Torre del Mar vs Marbelli?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Torre del Mar (1,803) and Marbelli (1,777).

Torre del Mar win42 %

Draw33 %

Marbelli win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torre del Mar have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Marbelli have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Torre del Mar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Arenas Armilla(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 17, 2026	Arenas Armilla(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 10, 2026	Torreperogil(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Atlético Porcuna(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Motril(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Marbelli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Granada II(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Huétor Vega(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Huétor Tájar(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 11, 2026	UD Melilla II(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Torre del Mar win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Marbelli win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 1, 2026	Torre del Mar 0-0 Marbelli	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 28, 2025	Marbelli 1-2 Torre del Mar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Jan 26, 2025	Torre del Mar 1-2 Marbelli	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 15, 2024	Marbelli 0-1 Torre del Mar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Torre del Mar vs Marbelli on Apr 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Torre del Mar score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Marbelli score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Torre del Mar	0.7	0.8	6	6/15	4/15
Marbelli	0.9	0.7	7	6/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Torre del Mar sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (55 points from 34 matches) and Marbelli sit 6th (51 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Torre del Mar	34	14	13	7	37	26	55
6	Marbelli	34	14	9	11	36	28	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Torre del Mar vs Marbelli?: The Footlab model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 42%, against 33% for a draw and 25% for Marbelli.
Where and when is Torre del Mar vs Marbelli played?: Torre del Mar vs Marbelli is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.