Match

Malaga City vs Melilla: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Pozuelo, Torremolinos

Malaga CityMelilla

The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Malaga City. The most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,818 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Malaga City vs Melilla?

Melilla starts as the favourite with a 281-point Elo edge (1,843 vs 1,563).

21%28%51%
Malaga City winDrawMelilla win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Malaga City vs Melilla

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Malaga City

4-3-3
  1. JJuanfran
  2. RR. Gómez
  3. JJosu Ozkoidi
  1. ÓÓscar Puente
  2. FF. Irisarri
  3. AAndrés del Río
  1. 2Chechu
  2. RRaúl Fernández Ortega
  3. JJuanjo
  4. AAntonio Contreras Lozano
  1. FFernando Padilla

Melilla

4-3-3
  1. 10Víctor Morillo
  2. 21Carlos Bravo
  3. BB. Kavtaradze
  1. AAdrián Tovar
  2. 19Armando
  3. 19Iván Ramos
  1. 4Manuel Galán
  2. 3Fran Varela
  3. 3Lolo González
  4. DDiego Ceballos
  1. EEdua Loscos

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 09:26 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malaga City have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Melilla have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Malaga City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Mancha Real(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Arenas Armilla(away)1-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 4, 2026Marbelli(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 27, 2026Melilla(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 20, 2026Motril(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Melilla
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Atlético Porcuna(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026UD San Pedro(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 4, 2026Alhaurino(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 27, 2026Malaga City(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 20, 2026Torre del Mar(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Malaga City wins, 0 draws, 1 Melilla win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Melilla 2-0 Malaga CityTercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Melilla vs Malaga City on Sep 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Malaga City score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Melilla score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Malaga City1.12.3010/1511/15
Melilla1.61.147/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Malaga City sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (0 points from 6 matches) and Melilla sit 1st (18 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Melilla760113518
18Malaga City60064160

A question about Malaga City vs Melilla?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Malaga City vs Melilla?
The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Malaga City.
Where and when is Malaga City vs Melilla played?
Malaga City vs Melilla is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Pozuelo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Malaga City and Melilla

Ready to know everything about football?