Atletico de Marbella vs Málaga II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico de Marbella the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Málaga II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico de Marbella wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico de Marbella vs Málaga II?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Atletico de Marbella (1,724) and Málaga II (1,803).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico de Marbella vs Málaga II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico de Marbella
Not enough data to predict the Atletico de Marbella lineup.
Málaga II
4-3-3- JJuani
- JJuanma Hernández
- RRubén Sánchez
- 32Rafael Garrido
- 44Jesús Martin
- AAlejandro Valcarce
- 38Pablo Arriaza
- 32Miguel Ángel
- ÁÁngel Recio
- IIván Benito Mancera
- 30Andrés Céspedes
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Atletico de Marbella have 1 win, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Málaga II have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Huétor Vega(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Granada II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Málaga II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mancha Real(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Churriana Vega(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Almería II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Granada II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cantoria(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Atletico de Marbella wins, 0 draws, 1 Málaga II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Málaga II 1-0 Atletico de Marbella | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Málaga II vs Atletico de Marbella on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico de Marbella score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 7; Málaga II score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico de Marbella | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 3/7 | 2/7 |
| Málaga II | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico de Marbella sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (5 points from 7 matches) and Málaga II sit 7th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Málaga II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 11 |
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
A question about Atletico de Marbella vs Málaga II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico de Marbella vs Málaga II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico de Marbella the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Málaga II.
- Where and when is Atletico de Marbella vs Málaga II played?
- Atletico de Marbella vs Málaga II is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.