Huétor Vega vs Arenas Armilla: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Viñas, Huétor Vega
The Footlab model makes Huétor Vega the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Arenas Armilla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Huétor Vega vs Arenas Armilla?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Huétor Vega (1,759) and Arenas Armilla (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Huétor Vega have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Arenas Armilla have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Martos(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Marbelli(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 2-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Motril(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 31, 2026 | Motril(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 24, 2026 | Torre del Mar(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Huétor Vega win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Arenas Armilla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Huétor Vega 1-1 Arenas Armilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Arenas Armilla 2-1 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Huétor Vega 2-1 Arenas Armilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Arenas Armilla 1-1 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 12, 2024 | Arenas Armilla 1-1 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Huétor Vega 0-0 Arenas Armilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Huétor Vega vs Arenas Armilla on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Huétor Vega score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arenas Armilla score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huétor Vega | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Arenas Armilla | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Huétor Vega sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (45 points from 34 matches) and Arenas Armilla sit 4th (54 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 29 | 54 |
| 10 | Huétor Vega | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43 | 42 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Huétor Vega vs Arenas Armilla?
- The Footlab model makes Huétor Vega the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Arenas Armilla.
- Where and when is Huétor Vega vs Arenas Armilla played?
- Huétor Vega vs Arenas Armilla is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Viñas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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