Alianza vs FAS: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 21Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador
The Footlab AI model makes FAS the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Alianza. The most likely score is 1-1. If FAS wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,789 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alianza vs FAS?
FAS starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,636).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alianza vs FAS
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alianza
4-3-3- 10L. Menjívar
- 9Gustavo Souza
- 10L. Menjivar
- 7M. Mier
- 6N. Orellana
- 8H. Osorio
- 19N. A. Rodriguez Arias
- 16H. Romero
- 23J. Monteagudo
- 3J. Sibrián
- 13M. González
FAS
4-3-3- 7R. Tejada
- 11Cesar Diaz
- 13E. Medrano
- 20Yan Maciel
- 8J. Nolasco
- 5J. Portillo
- 28R. Clavel
- 29J. Cruz
- 16Juan Vega
- 3M. Valencia
- 1K. Carabantes
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alianza have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; FAS have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cacahuatique(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FAS(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Firpo(home) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Platense(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Platense(home) | 2-3 | Primera Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(away) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Alianza(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Inca Aruba(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Municipal Limeño(away) | 3-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Alianza wins, 1 draw, 3 FAS wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | FAS 2-1 Alianza | Primera Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Alianza 0-2 FAS | Primera Division |
| Feb 15, 2026 | FAS 3-1 Alianza | Primera Division |
| Oct 26, 2025 | FAS 2-2 Alianza | Primera Division |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Alianza 2-0 FAS | Primera Division |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Alianza 1-0 FAS | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Alianza score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FAS score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| FAS | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alianza sit 6th in Primera Division (20 points from 15 matches) and FAS sit 2nd (30 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FAS | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Alianza | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 21 | 20 |
A question about Alianza vs FAS?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alianza vs FAS?
- The Footlab AI model makes FAS the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Alianza.
- Where and when is Alianza vs FAS played?
- Alianza vs FAS is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Cuscatlán, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.