Halesowen Town vs Leighton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Grove, Halesowen, West Midlands
The Footlab model makes Halesowen Town the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Leighton Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Halesowen Town vs Leighton Town?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Halesowen Town (1,867) and Leighton Town (1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Halesowen Town have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Leighton Town have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Needham Market(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Stourbridge(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | London Lions(home) | 5-0 | Non League Div One - Southern Central |
How many goals should we expect?
Halesowen Town score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leighton Town score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halesowen Town | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Leighton Town | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Halesowen Town sit 13th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (3 points from 2 matches) and Leighton Town sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leighton Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 13 | Halesowen Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Halesowen Town vs Leighton Town?
- The Footlab model makes Halesowen Town the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Leighton Town.
- Where and when is Halesowen Town vs Leighton Town played?
- Halesowen Town vs Leighton Town is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Grove, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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