Bromsgrove Sporting vs Bury Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Victoria Ground, Bromsgrove, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Bromsgrove Sporting. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bromsgrove Sporting vs Bury Town?
Bury Town starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bromsgrove Sporting have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Bury Town have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Redditch United(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Needham Market(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Sudbury(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bromsgrove Sporting win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Bury Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Bury Town 1-1 Bromsgrove Sporting | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Bromsgrove Sporting 2-2 Bury Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Bury Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bromsgrove Sporting score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bromsgrove Sporting | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Bury Town | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bromsgrove Sporting sit 4th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 2 matches) and Bury Town sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bury Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Bromsgrove Sporting | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bromsgrove Sporting vs Bury Town?
- The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Bromsgrove Sporting.
- Where and when is Bromsgrove Sporting vs Bury Town played?
- Bromsgrove Sporting vs Bury Town is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Victoria Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Hitchin TownvsStourbridge
- Sep 12, 2026Halesowen TownvsLeighton Town
- Sep 12, 2026AlvechurchvsStamford
- Sep 12, 2026Banbury UnitedvsLeiston
- Sep 12, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsLeamington
- Sep 12, 2026Needham MarketvsWorcester City
- Sep 12, 2026Peterborough SportsvsRushall Olympic
- Sep 12, 2026Kettering TownvsStratford Town