Match

Bromsgrove Sporting vs Bury Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Victoria Ground, Bromsgrove, Worcestershire

Bromsgrove SportingBury Town

The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Bromsgrove Sporting. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bromsgrove Sporting vs Bury Town?

Bury Town starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,721).

Bromsgrove Sporting win24 %
Draw24 %
Bury Town win52 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bromsgrove Sporting have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Bury Town have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bromsgrove Sporting
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Redditch United(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Anstey Nomads(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Rushall Olympic(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Needham Market(away)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Hereford(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Bury Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leamington(home)3-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Stratford Town(away)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Stamford(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Halesowen Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026AFC Sudbury(home)3-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bromsgrove Sporting win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Bury Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Bury Town 1-1 Bromsgrove SportingNon League Premier - Southern Central
Oct 11, 2025Bromsgrove Sporting 2-2 Bury TownNon League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Bury Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bromsgrove Sporting score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bromsgrove Sporting1.41.239/159/15
Bury Town1.91.168/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bromsgrove Sporting sit 4th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 2 matches) and Bury Town sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Bury Town3300519
4Bromsgrove Sporting2200526

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bromsgrove Sporting vs Bury Town?
The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Bromsgrove Sporting.
Where and when is Bromsgrove Sporting vs Bury Town played?
Bromsgrove Sporting vs Bury Town is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Victoria Ground, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bromsgrove Sporting and Bury Town

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