Hitchin Town vs Stourbridge: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Top Field, Hitchin, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Hitchin Town the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Stourbridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hitchin Town vs Stourbridge?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Hitchin Town (1,759) and Stourbridge (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hitchin Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Stourbridge have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Redditch United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Luton(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leiston(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Halesowen Town(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hitchin Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Stourbridge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Stourbridge 3-1 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Hitchin Town 1-5 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Hitchin Town 0-0 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Stourbridge 0-2 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Hitchin Town 1-1 Stourbridge | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Stourbridge 3-0 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Stourbridge vs Hitchin Town on Feb 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hitchin Town score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stourbridge score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hitchin Town | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Stourbridge | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hitchin Town sit 18th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Stourbridge sit 5th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Stourbridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 18 | Hitchin Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hitchin Town vs Stourbridge?
- The Footlab model makes Hitchin Town the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Stourbridge.
- Where and when is Hitchin Town vs Stourbridge played?
- Hitchin Town vs Stourbridge is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Top Field, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Halesowen TownvsLeighton Town
- Sep 12, 2026AlvechurchvsStamford
- Sep 12, 2026Banbury UnitedvsLeiston
- Sep 12, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsLeamington
- Sep 12, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsBury Town
- Sep 12, 2026Needham MarketvsWorcester City
- Sep 12, 2026Peterborough SportsvsRushall Olympic
- Sep 12, 2026Kettering TownvsStratford Town