FC Porto B vs Tondela: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Jorge Sampaio, Pedroso, Vila Nova de Gaia
The Footlab model makes Tondela the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for FC Porto B. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Porto B vs Tondela?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate FC Porto B (1,885) and Tondela (1,935).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Porto B have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Tondela have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Feirense(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Farense(home) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Academica(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Academica(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rio Ave(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Porto B win(s), 5 draw(s), 0 Tondela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | FC Porto B 2-2 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Tondela 2-2 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Tondela 0-0 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 13, 2023 | FC Porto B 1-1 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
| May 22, 2023 | Tondela 0-1 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 15, 2023 | FC Porto B 1-1 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: FC Porto B vs Tondela on Jan 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FC Porto B score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tondela score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto B | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Tondela | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Porto B sit 12th in Segunda Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and Tondela sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | FC Porto B | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Tondela | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Porto B vs Tondela?
- The Footlab model makes Tondela the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for FC Porto B.
- Where and when is FC Porto B vs Tondela played?
- FC Porto B vs Tondela is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Jorge Sampaio, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.