FC Porto B vs Tondela: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Jorge Sampaio, Pedroso, Vila Nova de Gaia
The Footlab AI model makes Tondela the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for FC Porto B. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tondela wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,778 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Porto B vs Tondela?
Tondela starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,991 vs 1,885).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Porto B vs Tondela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Porto B
4-2-3-1- 89Mateus Mide
- 56Kauê
- 92João Pedro Moreira Teixeira
- 66Bernardo Lima
- 58T. Silva
- 70Eirik Granaas
- 93Tiago Ferreira
- 64Luís Gomes
- 55Y. Pereira
- 76Dinis Rodrigues
- 50J. Afonso
Tondela
4-2-3-1- 19Tómané
- 20Hugo Félix
- 7Cascavel
- 37Sarará
- 8Hélder Tavares
- 97Cícero
- 12Zé Ricardo
- 4Christian Marques
- 15Carraça
- 6Farru
- 28Araujo Carlos
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 11:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Porto B have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Tondela have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Vizela(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Penafiel(home) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | AVS(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alverca(home) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Imortal Albufeira(away) | 5-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Porto B win, 4 draws, 1 Tondela win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tondela 3-0 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 26, 2025 | FC Porto B 2-2 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Tondela 2-2 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Tondela 0-0 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 13, 2023 | FC Porto B 1-1 Tondela | Segunda Liga |
| May 22, 2023 | Tondela 0-1 FC Porto B | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Porto B score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tondela score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto B | 1.0 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Tondela | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Porto B sit 15th in Segunda Liga (8 points from 8 matches) and Tondela sit 8th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Tondela | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 15 | FC Porto B | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 8 |
A question about FC Porto B vs Tondela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Porto B vs Tondela?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tondela the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for FC Porto B.
- Where and when is FC Porto B vs Tondela played?
- FC Porto B vs Tondela is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Jorge Sampaio, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.