Amorebieta vs Gernika: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Echano
The Footlab AI model makes Amorebieta the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Gernika. The most likely score is 1-1. If Amorebieta wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amorebieta vs Gernika?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Amorebieta (1,896) and Gernika (1,883).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Amorebieta vs Gernika
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Amorebieta
Not enough data to predict the Amorebieta lineup.
Gernika
Not enough data to predict the Gernika lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amorebieta have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Gernika have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portugalete(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bergantiños(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Amorebieta wins, 0 draws, 3 Gernika wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Amorebieta 1-2 Gernika | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Gernika 1-0 Amorebieta | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Aug 18, 2022 | Gernika 1-0 Amorebieta | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Amorebieta vs Gernika on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Amorebieta score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gernika score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Gernika | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amorebieta sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (7 points from 6 matches) and Gernika sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gernika | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
| 10 | Amorebieta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Amorebieta vs Gernika?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amorebieta vs Gernika?
- The Footlab AI model makes Amorebieta the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Gernika.
- Where and when is Amorebieta vs Gernika played?
- Amorebieta vs Gernika is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 11, 2027Gimnástica TorrelavegavsArosa
- Apr 11, 2027Real Oviedo IIvsMarino de Luanco
- Apr 11, 2027Deportivo Alavés IIvsPortugalete
- Apr 11, 2027LlaneravsSestao River
- Apr 11, 2027Racing Santander IIvsOurense CF
- Apr 11, 2027BasconiavsCompostela
- Apr 11, 2027Real Madrid IIIvsBergantiños
- Apr 11, 2027Eibar IIvsCoruxo